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SAN PEDRO DAILY
Wednesday, July 13, 2005

WEATHER
July 13, 2005 (6:00 am)

SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TROPICAL WEATHER DEVELOPMENT

TROPICAL STORM EMILY IS CENTERED NEAR 10.7N 54.7W AT
13/0300 UTC MOVING W AT 17 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 997 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED IS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.

EMILY REMAINS TO THE SOUTH OF THE STRONG SUBTROPICAL
RIDGE AND WITH THE OUTFLOW FAIRLY SYMMETRICAL.
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT AS
IT MOVES W TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY FOR MORE DETAILS.
***********************

Weather conditions over the Western Caribbean
including Belize is unstable and is favorable for the
development of cloudy and showery weather which will
be more frequent over southern districts of Belize.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs: Winds east to northeast 10 to 20 kts.
with higher gusts occurring near thundershowers.
Marine interests should exercise caution in moderate
to rough seas.

Skies will be cloudy at times along with the
development of early morning and and late afternoon
showers or thundershowers. Sunny periods and hot
temperatures will occur late morning .

Western Caribbean:
THE MID/UPPER LEVEL HIGH DOMINATING THE GULF OF MEXICO
EXTENDS INTO THE
NW CARIBBEAN N OF 16N W OF 77W. THIS IS PRODUCING
STRONG UPPER EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA.

CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS
DOT THE CARIBBEAN S OF 16N W OF 75W.

THE W CARIBBEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 82W/83W S OF
18N MOVING W 10-15 KT. WAVE IS BENEATH STRONG EASTERLY
FLOW AT THE BASE OF A LARGE MID/UPPER HIGH THAT IS
CENTERED OVER THE N GULF OF MEXICO. THE DEVELOPMENT OF
SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION AND SHOWER ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS WAVE IS OCCURING S OF 11N OVER
CENTRAL AMERICA AND INLAND OVER PANAMA FROM THE COAST
OF COLOMBIA TO 82W.

Eastern Caribbean:
A STRONG MID LEVEL HIGH IS FORECAST TO BUILD OVER THE
SW N ATLC AND REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THIS SHOULD KEEP EMILY ON A W TO WNW TRACK
DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

STRONG SUBSIDENCE REMAINS FROM 11N-17N E OF 68W TO
OVER THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS IS LIMITING SHOWER
ACTIVITY OVER THAT AREA INCLUDING THE LESSER ANTILLES.
http://www.hydromet.gov.bz/
gen_wx_ forecast.html

Probable threat from Emily may come Late
Saturday/Sunday

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