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SAN PEDRO DAILY
Saturday, July 16, 2005

WEATHER
July 16, 2005 (6:00 am)

SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)
TROPICAL WEATHER DEVELOPMENT

HURRICANE EMILY WAS CENTERED NEAR 15.6N 75.8W OR ABOUT
180 MILES... 350 KM... SE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AT
16/0900 UTC (3 AM) MOVING WNW 16 KT. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 950 MB AND THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WIND SPEED WAS 120 KT GUSTING TO 145 KT.

HURRICANE EMILY HAS STRENGTHENED ONCE AGAIN DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. EMILY WILL CONTINUE ON A
WNW TRACK THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD AND IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
TRACKING ACROSS THE NW CARIBBEAN AND THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA SUN NIGHT...THEN ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF
TOWARD N MEXICO OR S TEXAS WITH LANDFALL LATE TUE OR
TUE NIGHT.

A 41 KT PEAK WIND WAS OBSERVED WITH SEAS CURRENTLY AT
23 FT. THE BUOY ROVIDED A GOOD ESTIMATE OF 12 FT SEA
RADII IN THE SW QUADRANT OF ABOUT 90 NM. MAX SEAS
WHICH REMAIN ESTIMATED NEAR 40-50 FT.

SEE LATEST FORECAST/ADVISORY FOR MORE DETAILS.

***********************

Conditions remain unstable and favourable for the
development of cloudy and showery weather over
Belize.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the
next 24 hrs: Cloudy skies but with sunny breaks and
warm temps after mid morning through to late
afternoon. Winds will be 10 to 20 kts. with squally
higher gusts occurring near heavier showers.

Marine interests should exercise caution in moderate
to rough seas and squalls

OUTLOOK: Weather conditions will begin to deteriorate
after midday on Sunday as the approach of Hurricane
Emily will begin to affect coastal and northern areas
of Belize and all of TheYucatan

THE GENERAL PUBLIC SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE
ADVISORIES ON HURRICANE EMILY BEING ISSUED BY LOCAL
AUTHORITIES..

Northwestern and Central Caribbean:

A MID/UPPER LOW IS IN THE NW CARIBBEAN NEAR 19N84W
EXTENDING A TROUGH ESE TO 12N78W SOUTH OF EMILY.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION LIES UNDER THE UPPER LOW
FROM 15N-19N BETWEEN 82W-86W.

AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE MID/UPPER LOW OVER
NW CARIBBEAN EXTENDING NORTHWARD OVER SE FLORIDA.

OUTER BANDS OF CONVECTION FROM EMILY ARE MAKING THERE
WAY THROUGH JAMAICA AND HISPANIOLA. EMILY IS FORECAST
TO ENTER THE GULF OF MEXICO ON MON. SEE LATEST
FORECAST/ADVISORY FOR MORE DETAILS.
http://www.hydromet.gov.bz/
gen_wx_ forecast.html

Preliminary phase issued for Hurricane Emily- all those living at the cayes are asked to move to the mainland on Saturday More ...

News tip: Helibel (Tropic helicopter) busy helping salvage wrecked freighter at Lighthouse reef area.

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