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San Pedro Daily
Saturday, August 13, 2005

WEATHER
August 13, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Conditions over Belize and Northwest Caribbean will
continue cloudy and humid but
producing only isolated
showers and thundershowers.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs: Occasionally cloudy and warm with isolated early morning and late
afternoon showers or
thundershowers. Winds will be
easterly at 5 to 15 kts.
Sea state will be light chop.

The outlook is for fair weather and isolates showers
through Monday.

Western Caribbean:

NARROW MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IS OVER THE EASTERN GULF
FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
TO THE FLORIDA BIG BEND.UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE RIDGE

SOUTHERLY WIND FLOW BETWEEN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN
RIDGE AND THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN CYCLONIC CENTER IS
PUSHING HIGH LEVEL MOISTURE NORTHWARD FROM SOUTH
AMERICA ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN SEA TO HISPANIOLA. UPPER
DIFFLUENCE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE RIDGE AND ANTICYCLONE
WAS SUPPORTING SCATTERED TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH
TROPICAL WAVE OVER THE
ISLANDS YESTERDAY.

Central Caribbean:

MODERATE TRADES OVER CARIB S OF 17N OTHERWISE MOSTLY
LIGHT WINDS

A CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 71W/72W SOUTH
OF 19N FROM CENTRAL HISPANIOLA TO LAKE MARACAIBO IN
VENEZUELA...MOVING WEST 15 KT.

UPPER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM E CENTRAL CUBA THRU JAMAICA
TO NEAR 13N79W...MOVING
SLOWLY WESTWARD. ISOLATED
TSTMS ARE OCCURRING ALONG
THE TROUGH AXIS AND FROM
NORTHWESTERN HAITI TO JUST NORTHWEST OF JAMAICA SOUTH
OF CUBA.

Eastern Caribbean:

AN EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG
62W/63W SOUTH OF 18N MOVING WEST 20 KT. ISOLATED
MODERATE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE
DURING THE LAST 4 TO 5 HOURS...AND NOW ARE FOUND FROM
12N TO 17N BETWEEN 62W AND
68W.

MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
IS ESTABLISHED IN THE
EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...WITH
AN ANTICYCLONIC
CIRCULATION NOTED OVER THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

IRENE FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY
MOVING NW AT 9 KT.

THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE AT 13/0300 UTC (9
PM LOCAL) WAS NEAR 29.2N 68.3W OR ABOUT 300 MILES/480
KM SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA AND ABOUT 590 MILES/950 KM
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. IT WAS
MOVING NORTHWEST 9 KT. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE 991 MB. THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS
WERE 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.

A 1010 MB ATLANTIC OCEAN LOW PRESSURE CENTER WAS NEAR
12.5N43W MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 KT.
THIS CIRCULATION WAS MOVING ALONG WITH A TROPICAL WAVE
FOR AT LEAST A FEW DAYS AS IT BECAME BETTER ORGANIZED.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURING FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 41W
AND 46W. UPPER LEVEL WINDS
ARE FAVORABLE FOR
DEVELOPMENT.
http://www.hydromet.gov.bz/ gen_wx_ forecast.html

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