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San Pedro Daily
Wednesday, August 17, 2005

WEATHER
August 17, 2005 (6:00 am)
SAN PEDRO WEATHER DISCUSSION by Winston Panton (with
excerpts from the Regional Hurricane Center)

TODAY’S FORECAST

Cloudy conditions over the Northwest Caribbean are already clearing as
tropical wave activity moves
westwards into Mexico and Central America.

San Pedro and Caye Caulker will experience for the next 24 hrs: Occasionally cloudy skies and warm
temperatures. Isolated early morning showers will occur. Winds will be easterly at 5 to 15 kts. Sea
state will be light chop to choppy.

The outlook is for partly cloudy and
warm weather with isolated showers through Friday.

Western Caribbean:

W CARIBBEAN/SE GULF OF MEXICO TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG
86W/87W S OF 25N MOVING W 10-15 KT. SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN THE GULF S OF 26N FROM 83W-88W AND
INTO THE YUCATAN CHANNEL.
THE DEEP CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER CENTRAL AMERICA AND IN
THE E PACIFIC REGION.

A LARGE MID/UPPER LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN NEAR 15N75W S OF HAITI. THE LOW IS PULLING
BROAD N FLOW OVER THE W CARIBBEAN...AND AS A RESULT
IS PULLING A LARGE AREA OF CIRRUS OUTFLOW FROM W OF 80W
SE TO THE VENEZUELA COAST.

CONVECTION IS ALREADY DECREASING OVER W CARIBBEAN
AS THE UPPER LOW NEAR 16N74W SHIFTS W.

DRY AIR FARTHER N OVER THE W ATLC IS BEING DRAWN
ACROSS CENTRAL CUBA INTO THE CIRCULATION OF THE LOW.

THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION IS CURRENTLY OVER THE SW CARIBBEAN S OF 14N W
OF 80W WHERE THE UPPER FLOW
IS DIVERGING TO THE E AND SW.

Central Caribbean:

AN AREA OF E 15-20 KT WINDS COVERS THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN.

Eastern Caribbean:

THE E CARIBBEAN AND LESSER ANTILLES UPPER LEVELS ARE
UNDER W FLOW FROM AN UPPER
LOW N OF THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS NEAR 21N62W.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE S OF 22N W OF 59W OVER THE E
CARIBBEAN. HOWEVER...THE
AREA WILL HAVE RELATIVELY DRY
CONDITIONS BEGINNING LATER TODAY WHEN DRIER AIR
ARRIVES FROM THE TROPICAL ATLC.

TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT

A 1011 MB LOW...PREVIOUSLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TEN...IS CENTERED NEAR 16N54W MOVING W 5-10 KT.
CONVECTION HAS REDUCED SINCE EARLIER THIS EVENING
ALTHOUGH THE LOW LEVEL CENTER REMAINS OBSCURED MOSTLY
BY HIGH CLOUDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS/ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN
51W-55W.

HURRICANE IRENE IS CENTERED NEAR 36.6N 60.4W...OR 686
NM SSW OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND...AT 17/0300 UTC
(9 PM LOCAL) MOVING E AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND
SPEED WAS 80 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 100 KT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 978 MB. http://www.hydromet.gov.bz/ gen_wx_ forecast.html

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